August 24, 2014: Tropical storm Cristobal is here!

Satellite image (NOAA) for the aviation industry of 24 August 2014 at 0615 EST showing recently named tropical storm CRISTOBAL approaching the southeastern Bahamas
Satellite image (NOAA) for the aviation industry of 24 August 2014 at 0615 EST showing recently named tropical storm CRISTOBAL approaching the southeastern Bahamas

Today the 24th of August, just as we commemorate the devastating impact of category 5 Hurricane ANDREW 22 years ago, Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL the 3rd named storm of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season has reached tropical cyclone status over the southeastern Bahamas. Following is the announcement just issued by the National Hurricane Center earlier this morning

000
WTNT64 KNHC 241019
TCUAT4

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
620 AM AST SUN AUG 24 2014


...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE
THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED TO TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL.
THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 MPH...75 KM/H WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.


SUMMARY OF 620 AM AST...1020 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 73.3W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NNW OF MAYAGUANA ISLAND
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Projected track for tropical storm CRISTOBAL (U.S. Navy Research Laboratory based on NOAA data)
Projected track for tropical storm CRISTOBAL (U.S. Navy Research Laboratory based on NOAA data)

Cristobal is much better organized this morning and it shows potential for further strengthening over the next day or so as its forecast track takes it first on a northward track, and eventually on a gradual turn toward the northeast paralleling the USA Atlantic coastline in the next few days.

Satellite image (NOAA) of 24 August 2014 showing several disturbed weather cells populating 'hurricane alley' and the 'tropical wave assembly line' over Equatorial Africa
Satellite image (NOAA) of 24 August 2014 showing several disturbed weather cells populating ‘hurricane alley’ and the ‘tropical wave assembly line’ over Equatorial Africa

Looking eastward toward the Cape Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic and Equatorial Africa there is some slight increase in tropical weather activity over ‘hurricane alley’ and the ‘tropical wave assembly line’. Satellite imagery taken earlier this morning show several stormy weather cells marching westward.

The historical peak of the annual Atlantic hurricane season is approaching, so the possibility is there for increased activity over the next 3 to 4 weeks. All interest around the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, in Florida, and the U.S.A. Atlantic coastline will do well to remain alert, be prepared and keep practicing mitigation as we keep an eye on the northern tropical Atlantic  and the tropical-wave nursery over Equatorial Africa. We still have more than 50% of the official 2014 Atlantic hurricane season ahead of us.