Tag Archives: Baja California

Carlos reaches hurricane strength

Satellite image of 13 June 2015 showing hurricane CARLOS under visible light [NASA]
Satellite image of 13 June 2015 showing hurricane CARLOS under visible light [NASA]

Tropical cyclone CARLOS, the 3rd named storm of the 2015 East Pacific hurricane season reached hurricane strength earlier today off the coast of Mexico. The hurricane is generating sustained 120 kph winds, with  higher gusts, while its track has shifted slightly to the east.

Projected track of hurricane CARLOS as of 13 June [Courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory]
Projected track of hurricane CARLOS as of 13 June [Courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory]

The new projected track of hurricane Carlos will take it closer to the coastline of Manzanillo and Puerto Vallarta than previously anticipated and toward the Gulf of California earlier this coming week. Because of its slow forward motion this storm has the potential for causing significant damage by way of coastal flooding, including instances of flash floods, because of the copious rain it is generating over the region.

Infrared GOES EAST satellite image [NOAA] of 13 June showing  the low pressure system generating copious rain and stormy weather over a vast region from southern Mexico and the northwestern Caribbean to Central America and Panama
Infrared GOES EAST satellite image [NOAA] of 13 June showing the low pressure system generating copious rain and stormy weather over a vast region from southern Mexico and the northwestern Caribbean to Central America and Panama

Hurricane Carlos is paralleled by a low pressure system of the east coast of Quintana Roo, Mexico, that is generating stormy weather and vast amounts of rain over the Yucatan Peninsula, southern Mexico, and most of Central America and the central and northwestern Caribbean basin. This system is traversing the Yucatan peninsula and it is expected to emerge over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico where in may intensify under a favorable ocean-atmosphere environment.

While Mexico experiences impacts of both coastlines, and Central America continues to suffer extreme rain events and instances of flooding that have already caused significant damage to buildings and infrastructure as well as death by drowning,  there is plenty of fuel for potential further adverse weather activity in coming days, in the form of storm cells pushing westward along ‘hurricane alley’, pushed by tropical waves emerging from Equatorial Africa over the eastern Atlantic.

All interests in the Caribbean basin, the Gulf of Mexico, Florida, Central America  and Mexico must monitor these systems closely, remaining always alert and prepared, and engaged in the practice of mitigation!

2014 East Pacific: It’s 17 and counting!

Projected track for tropical storm RACHEL as of 25 September 2014 (courtesy of the U.S. Navy Research Laboratory based on NOAA data)
Projected track for tropical storm RACHEL as of 25 September 2014 (courtesy of the U.S. Navy Research Laboratory based on NOAA data)

Tropical storm RACHEL, the seventeenth-named tropical cyclone of the 2014 East Pacific hurricane season is now active off the coast of Mexico, moving NW and expected to make a gradual turn to the north and eventually the northeast toward, yet again, Baja California.

Color-enhanced infrared satellite image (NOAA) of 25 September 2014 showing tropical storm RACHEL off the Pacific coast of central Mexico
Color-enhanced infrared satellite image (NOAA) of 25 September 2014 showing tropical storm RACHEL off the Pacific coast of central Mexico

The 2014 East Pacific hurricane season is already the 3rd busiest of record in the 158 years that we have been keeping track of cyclonic activity in this basin. It is possible that the 2014 season may continue to break records, as there continue to be considerable disturbed weather activity in the region from central/southern Mexico to the Gulf of Panama off the coast of Central America

Projected track for tropical storm KAMMURI as of 25 September 2014 (Courtesy of the U.S. Navy Research Laboratory based on NOAA data)
Projected track for tropical storm KAMMURI as of 25 September 2014 (Courtesy of the U.S. Navy Research Laboratory based on NOAA data)

Ten thousand kilometers to the west of Tropical Storm RACHEL’s  current location, in the extreme Northwest Pacific between the northern Philippines and Taiwan, Tropical Storm KAMMURI the seventeenth-named storm of 2014 in that basin is moving generally NNW and strengthening.

Color-enhanced infrared satellite image of 25 September 2014 over the northwest Pacific Ocean showinh tropical storm KAMMURI
Color-enhanced infrared satellite image of 25 September 2014 over the northwest Pacific Ocean showing tropical storm KAMMURI

Including one named tropical cyclone in the Central Pacific, so far in 2014 there have been 35 named storms in the northern Pacific.