Tag Archives: central Pacific

21 August 2015: Lots of activity in northern tropics

MosaIc of satellite images of 21 August 2015 showing Hurricane DANNY tracking WNW toward the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, and a low pressure disturbance near Bermuda in the Atlantic basin
MosaIc of satellite images of 21 August 2015 showing Hurricane DANNY tracking WNW toward the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, and a low pressure disturbance near Bermuda in the Atlantic basin

The northern hemisphere tropics are seeing plenty of cyclonic activity on this Friday 21 August 2015.

In the Atlantic basin there is Hurricane DANNY, the first hurricane and fourth-named storm of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season,  riding ‘hurricane alley’ moving WNW in the general direction of the Virgin Island, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola beyond that. There is also a disturbance around a low pressure area in the vicinity of Bermuda, which is being investigated by the National Hurricane Center for signs of potential cyclonic development

Mosaic of satellite images of 21 August 2015 over the Pacific basin showing two strong typhoons over the northwestern Pacific, and two tropical depressions over the central Pacific
Mosaic of satellite images of 21 August 2015 over the Pacific basin showing two strong typhoons over the northwestern Pacific, and two tropical depressions over the central Pacific

Over the Pacific basin strong twin typhoons GONI now moving between the Philippines and Taiwan before an expected turn toward southern Japan, and ATSANI approaching southern Japan  and beginning to also turn toward the north.

Also in the Pacific there are twin tropical depressions THREE and FOUR in the vicinity of the Hawaiian Islands.

Except for DANNY and GONI none of the other active cyclones pose any danger to land for now.

Stored heat in the tropical northern oceans is quite high now, so one important contributor to cyclogenesis is present waiting for other triggers that may generate future tropical cyclones as we reach the historical peaks of hurricane seasons in these basins.

12:00 NOON UPDATE

Color-enhanced infrared satellite image [NOAA] of 08/21/2015 showing a now Category 2 Hurricane DANNY, the low pressure disturbance being investigated by the NHC near Bermuda, and a new tropical wave just emerging over the eastern Atlantic south of the Cape Verde Islands and also being investigated by the NHC!
Color-enhanced infrared satellite image [NOAA] of 08/21/2015 showing a now Category 2 Hurricane DANNY, the low pressure disturbance being investigated by the NHC near Bermuda, and a new tropical wave just emerging over the eastern Atlantic south of the Cape Verde Islands and also being investigated by the NHC!
The 11:00 A.M. National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory brings important new information: (a) Hurricane DANNY is now a category 2 tropical cyclone in the Safir-Simpson hurricane wind scale, packing maximum sustained winds of 170 kph; (b) a new and large tropical wave is emerging over the eastern Atlantic waters south of the Cape Verde Islands, which warrants further investigation and close monitoring;  (c) Over the eastern Pacific a new low pressure disturbance off the coast of Mexico is also being investigated by the NHC.

Cp;or-enhanced infrared GPES-West satellite image [NOAA} of 08/21/2015 showing a new low pressure disturbance over the eastern Pacific, now being investigated by the NHC.
Cp;or-enhanced infrared GPES-West satellite image [NOAA} of 08/21/2015 showing a new low pressure disturbance over the eastern Pacific, now being investigated by the NHC.

HURRICANE GUILLERMO aims for Hawaii

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On this Saturday the 1st day of August there are two tropical cyclones and two low pressure disturbances in the Pacific Ocean. Hurricane GUILLERMO, the 7th named storm of the 2015 East Pacific hurricane season that ‘officially’ opened on 15 May, is a strengthening storm approaching the central Pacific moving in the general direction of the ‘big island’ of Hawaii.

Projected track of Hurricane GUILLERMO as  of 1 August 2015. The storm, which is expected to continue strengthening over the next 24 - 48 hours is forecasted to then weaken as it gets closer to the Big Island of Hawaii by mid-week
Projected track of Hurricane GUILLERMO as of 1 August 2015. The storm, which is expected to continue strengthening over the next 24 – 48 hours is forecasted to then weaken as it gets closer to the Big Island of Hawaii by mid-week
Infrared satellite image of 1 August 2015 showing Tropical Storm SOUDELOR in the northwestern Pacific approaching the Philippines Sea
Infrared satellite image of 1 August 2015 showing Tropical Storm SOUDELOR in the northwestern Pacific approaching the Philippines Sea

Elsewhere in the Pacific a strengthening tropical storm SOUDELOR is approaching the Philippines Sea aiming in the general direction of southern Japan.

Infrared satellite image of 1 August 2015 showing the remains of a tropical storm in the region of the Bay of Bengal and Bangladesh
Infrared satellite image of 1 August 2015 showing the remains of a tropical storm in the region of the Bay of Bengal and Bangladesh

Over Bangladesh and the Bay of Bengal we are still seeing  what remains of a tropical storm that recently made landfall there, which is generating copious rains over a vast region.

Visible light satellite image [NOAA} showing a low pressure disturbance currently moving westward along 'hurricane alley' in the general direction of the Windward Islands.
Visible light satellite image [NOAA} showing a low pressure disturbance currently moving westward along ‘hurricane alley’ in the general direction of the Windward Islands.
Closer to us here in Florida, we can see a low pressure disturbance moving generally westward along ‘hurricane alley’ in the midst of a long train of large cells of disturbed weather populating the full 4000 kilometer length of the alley from the western coast of Equatorial Africa and the region south of the Cape Verde Islands all the way to near the northeastern coast of South America.  This disturbance has been designated as ’94L INVEST’ and is being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NOAA) for any signs of potential cyclonic development in what has been an otherwise rather quiet 2015 Atlantic hurricane season.

Color-enhanced infrared satellite image [NOAA] of 1 August 2015 showing the entire 4000 km length of 'Hurricane Alley' populated by a train of tropical waves.
Color-enhanced infrared satellite image [NOAA] of 1 August 2015 showing the entire 4000 km length of ‘Hurricane Alley’ populated by a train of tropical waves.
Keep on watching. Remain alert. Be prepared. MITIGATE!