While many prepare to enjoy the Labor Day weekend here in the United States the issue of weather becomes critical for plans being made. Will the weather allows us to have a picnic in the park, or to spend time at the beach with friends and family?
Speaking of weather, this morning I would like to share several images of Earth, in full-disk view, from space to give us an idea of what is happening weather-wise around the world, with particular attention to ‘tropical weather’ and cyclonic activity.
In these snapshots we see plenty of tropical cyclone activity including Tropical Storm FRED in the middle of the Atlantic starting to turn toward the Azores being chased by a tropical wave, which is showing some signs of potential further development to the south of the Cape Verde Islands.
Over the Pacific we see plenty of activity from the eastern Pacific sub-basin to the Central and Northwestern Pacific in the form of hurricane JIMENA east of Hawaii, typhoon KILO to the west of Hawaii, the remnants of hurricane IGNACIO to the northwest of Hawaii, and tropical storm KEVIN just of the Baja California peninsula in Mexico.
Noticeable in these images is the ‘belt of tropical cyclonic activity’ extending from eastern Africa through the Atlantic and the Pacific, all the way to the Indian Ocean over the Bay of Bengal and beyond to the west of India, almost encircling the whole Earth. This a sign there are plenty of seeds that could generate additional tropical cyclones activity in days to come.
The ‘twin evils’ of typhoon GONI and ATSANI continue moving over the northwest Pacific Ocean. Typhoon GONI brushed past the northern Philippines and Taiwan and it is now aiming for southern Japan and the Korean peninsula. Typhoon ATSANI has made a turn toward the north and now the northeast as it continues to track parallel to the east coast of Japan posing no direct threat to land.
Projected track for typhoon ATSANI [courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research laboratory] as of 08/23/2015
This cyclonic activity over the northwest Pacific is now joined by tropical storm LOKE to the west of Hawaii over the central Pacific ocean, which has seen plenty of disturbed weather activity in recent days, as a swarm of tropical waves and disturbed weather cells move westward after being generated over the eastern Pacific off the coast of Central America and Panama.
While it would appear the west-northwest Pacific basin is having an extremely busy 2015 season in terms of tropical cyclone generation, the reality is that there have been a total of seventeen tropical cyclones affecting the region since MEKKHALA developed in January of this year and hit the Philippines until typhoon ATSANI formed this August. This kind of cyclonic activity is not unusual for that region and it is in fact somewhat below average. We need to wait and see what the next few weeks bring in terms of cyclogenesis to determine what kind of a season 2015 will be in the northwest Pacific ocean.