Tag Archives: Pacific Hurricane Season

02 November 2014: It is all in the Pacific!

It was it the low to mid 40s [degrees Farenheit] early this morning of Sunday 2 November 2014, and much colder in central and northern Florida. Could this be a sign that winter is approaching?  For some in the South and other places in the U.S.A. with snow on the ground and freezing wind-chills WINTER is already here.

Despite these signs of the approaching change in seasons tropical cyclone activity is present today at both ends of the northern Pacific Ocean. Ten thousand kilometers apart Tropical Storm VANCE over the eastern Pacific and Typhoon NURI over the northwestern Pacific reminds us of just how active the northern Pacific basin has been so far in 2014, in terms of cyclonic activity.

Infrared satellite image [NASA] of 2 November 2014 showing a strengthening Tropical Storm VANCE off the Pacific coast of Mexico
Infrared satellite image [NASA] of 2 November 2014 showing a strengthening Tropical Storm VANCE off the Pacific coast of Mexico

 Projected track for tropical cyclone VANCE [courtesy of the U.S. Navy Research Laboratory] as of 1 November 2014

Projected track for tropical cyclone VANCE [courtesy of the U.S. Navy Research Laboratory] as of 1 November 2014

Tropical storm VANCE is strengthening, and may become a hurricane over the next 12 – 24 hours, as it begins to change its course toward an eventual turn toward the NE in the general direction of Cabo San Lucas in the Baja California peninsula and Mazatlan. VANCE is the 20th named storm of what has been a record-breaking East Pacific hurricane season in 2014.

Infrared satellite image [NASA] of 2 November 2014 showing a strengthening category 3 Typhoon NURI over the Philippines Sea
Infrared satellite image [NASA] of 2 November 2014 showing a strengthening category 3 Typhoon NURI over the Philippines Sea
Projected track for Typhoon NURI [courtesy of the U.S. Navy Research Laboratory]  as of 2 November 2014
Projected track for Typhoon NURI [courtesy of the U.S. Navy Research Laboratory] as of 2 November 2014

Typhoon NURI brushed past Guam a couple of days ago, and it is now a strong category 3 typhoon that is continuing to strengthen as it tracks into a favorable ocean-atmospheric environment and continues to change course toward the waters off eastern Japan.

As the years comes to an end, it will be interesting to look back and take count of what has transpired in terms of cyclonic activity in 2014. There have been some interesting events that will be worth examining in greater detail. As I write this two recent tropical cyclones come to mind because of their longevity. One is tropical storm ANA, which tracked by the islands of Hawaii to then veer North and NE before being ‘picked-up’ by a system that carried it all the way back to the mainland of Canada and the U.S.A. northwest eventually affecting the U.S.A. all the way to the mid-west more than two weeks later. A similar story was Hurricane Gonzalo, which was generated over the west-central Atlantic near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, hit Bermuda and  continued toward extreme eastern Canada and eventually mainland Europe, where it continue on an eastern track until it caused extreme rains and flooding in Greece more than two weeks later.  It will be interesting to analyze what contributing factors made both ANA and GONZALO last so long, travel so far north and then east, and affect such a wide region.

2014 East Pacific Hurricane Season: 20 and counting!

Water-vapor satellite image [NOAA] of 30 October 2014 showing Tropical storm VANCE off the Pacific coast of Mexico and other disturbed weather near Central America and Panama
Water-vapor satellite image [NOAA] of 30 October 2014 showing Tropical storm VANCE off the Pacific coast of Mexico and other disturbed weather near Central America and Panama

The eastern Pacific off the coast of Mexico and Central America continues generating tropical  cyclones in what may become a season for the record books.

Visible-light satellite image [NASA] of 30 October 2014 showing Tropical storm VANCE as it moves pff the Pacific coast of centarl Mexico
Visible-light satellite image [NASA] of 30 October 2014 showing Tropical storm VANCE as it moves off the Pacific coast of central Mexico

Just today, Thursday 30 October 2014, tropical depression #21 reached tropical storm strength and took the name of VANCE. This storm is moving generally northwest into a favorable environment off the Pacific coast of Mexico where it is forecast to become a hurricane in the next couple of days or so. Meanwhile the eastern range of the sub-basin all the way to the  Gulf of Panama is populated by an aggregation of disturbed weather cells feeding into the region of the East Pacific ocean where we have seen twenty named storms so far this year.

Projected track for Tropical storm VANCE [courtesy of U.S. Navy Research Laboratory] as of 30 October 2014
Projected track for Tropical storm VANCE [courtesy of U.S. Navy Research Laboratory] as of 30 October 2014

On the other side of the landmass, over the Atlantic basin we have only had eight named storms in what so far has been a below-average 2014 hurricane season, the last one being tropical storm HANNAH, which made landfall in Nicaragua a few days ago.