It started as a system of low pressure off the coast of Georgia and Northern Florida just a few days ago. This disturbance then started tracking SSE slowly veering south and then southwest aiming for central and southern Florida while generating plenty of rain and thunderstorms over most of Florida.
The system became a tropical depression as it did a 180 and began tracking northward as it reached tropical storm strength, to eventually become Hurricane ARTHUR, the first hurricane of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
While we have had some cyclonic activity generated in this region in recent years I can’t recall a hurricane forming where this one did, but I haven’t gone back to check the historical record going back to 1851. I will do so and report back.
All interests along the USA Atlantic seaboard all the way up to the northeastern USA, including those area still undergoing post-Sandy recovery work, need to be alert and prepared, and monitor this one closely.
Remain alert. Be prepared. MITIGATE!
UPDATE AS OF 1530 07/04/2014
Hurricane ARTHUR still a category 1 tropical cyclone is some 240 km east of Long Island, NY tracking NE at a rather quick 40 kph (24 mph). Because of its rotation storm surge should no create too much of a hazard for the coastal regions of NY and NJ, and beyond. The forecast calls for most of rain impact to be over the Canadian provinces.
There we have it a large cell of disturbed, stormy weather covers a low pressure system in the Bay of Campeche, extreme southwestern Gulf Of Mexico on this Thursday, 5 June 2014. This system was generated by a tropical wave from the eastern east Pacific that crossed over the isthmus of Tehuantepec in southern Mexico emerging over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico.
The system is showing some potential for cyclonic development and will need to be monitored closely by all interests around the Gulf of Mexico from the Yucatan Peninsula, to Florida in coming days. Could this be the first-named storm of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane season? Only time will tell, but in the mean time we need to pay attention, remain prepared, keeping in mind that no tropical cyclone is “just a storm”.
Update for 6 June 2014:
The low pressure system over the Bay of Campeche has strengthened over the night hours and is showing better organization and additional potential for further strengthening and possible cyclonic development over the next day or so as it tracks slowly NNW. The system is already generating heavy rains over a wide region in Mexico and the Gulf. All interest around the Gulf basin should monitor this one closely as it evolves in the future.