Tag Archives: Tropical storm Ashobaa

CARLOS: 3rd named storm of 2015 develops in Eastern Pacific

The storm system we have been monitoring in the Eastern Pacific, off the coast of Central America and Southern Mexico, strengthened earlier today (11 June 2015) to become Tropical Storm CARLOS the 3rd named tropical cyclone of the 2015 East Pacific hurricane season.

Infrared GOES EAST [NOAA] satellite image of 11 June 2015 showing Tropical Storm CARLOS in the Eastern Pacific and other disturbed weather cells in the sub-basin and along 'hurricane alley'
Infrared GOES EAST [NOAA] satellite image of 11 June 2015 showing Tropical Storm CARLOS in the Eastern Pacific and other disturbed weather cells in the sub-basin and along ‘hurricane alley’
The storm was located some 200 km to the south of Acapulco, Mexico and is expected to move parallel to the coastline toward the NNW for the next 24 – 48 hours. All interests along the Pacific coastal region of Mexico from Acapulco to Mazatlan and Cabo San Lucas should brace for heavy rains, storm surge and bad weather, and monitor the progress of Carlos closely.

Projected track for Tropical Storm CARLOS as of 11 June 2015 [courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory]
Projected track for Tropical Storm CARLOS as of 11 June 2015 [courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory]
Following in the wake of Tropical Storm Carlos there is a large cell of stormy weather off the coast of Central America, which is being fed by a train of tropical waves and storm cells moving westward along ‘hurricane alley’ and extending to the eastern Atlantic and Equatorial Africa. These are the seeds that may fuel additional stormy weather in the Eastern Pacific sub-basin in days to come.

Concurrently with T.S. Carlos some 17,000 km to the east in the Arabian Sea Tropical Storm ASHOBAA is 200 km east of the coast of central Oman, where it is projected to make landfall some time tomorrow 12 June 2015.

Projected track of Tropical Storm ASHOBAA [courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory] as of 11 June 2015
Projected track of Tropical Storm ASHOBAA [courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory] as of 11 June 2015

Future tropical cyclone activity should be expected over the warm waters of the oceans in our Earth’s northern hemisphere. Let us remain alert, be prepared and always practice mitigation!

Could it be Carlos in the Eastern Pacific?

Tropical cyclone BLANCA, the second named storm of the 2015 Eastern Pacific hurricane season just went over the Baja California Peninsula of Mexico  in the past couple of days. Following close behind Blanca, we have been monitoring a large cell of disturbed weather and low pressure off the coast of Central America, which appears to be getting better organized showing signs of potential cyclonic development.

Infrared GOES EAST satellite image [NOAA} of 10 June 2015 showing a large cell of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific sub-basin, which may be developing potential cyclonic activity and could become CARLOS, the 3rd named storm of the Eastern Pacific 2015 hurricane season
Infrared GOES EAST satellite image [NOAA} of 10 June 2015 showing a large cell of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific sub-basin, which may be developing potential cyclonic activity and could become CARLOS, the 3rd named storm of the Eastern Pacific 2015 hurricane season
Could this be CARLOS, the 3rd named tropical cyclone of the Eastern Pacific sub-basin or just another wave of bad weather in a region that has shown a propensity for stormy weather over the past few years? Only time will tell, but for now all interests along the Pacific coastal region of Central America and Mexico, from Nicaragua to Baja California will do well to remain alert, be prepared and follow the progress of this system closely over the next couple of days.

Infrared METEOSAT-7 image of 10 June showing Tropical Storm ASHOBAA over the Arabian Sea, northwestern Indian Ocean, approaching landfall in the Arabian Peninsula
Infrared METEOSAT-7 image of 10 June showing Tropical Storm ASHOBAA over the Arabian Sea, northwestern Indian Ocean, approaching landfall in the Arabian Peninsula

Elsewhere in the world there is Tropical Storm ASHOBAA in the Arabian Sea, northwestern Indian Ocean, about to make landfall in the Arabian Peninsula with  sustained maximum winds around 45 – 50 kph.

Projected track of Tropical Storm ASHOBAA (courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory)
Projected track of Tropical Storm ASHOBAA (courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory)

Also, the ‘tropical wave assembly line’ over Equatorial Africa is showing signs of continuous activity evidenced by a train of disturbed weather cells crossing the continent and moving generally westward all the way across ‘hurricane alley’ over the northern regions of South America into the eastern Pacific where the potential seed for Carlos is now active.

Composite Full Earth Disk satellite image over the Atlantic showing tropical wave activity over Equatorial Africa and 'hurricane alley' across the Atlantic feeding into the Eastern Pacific sub-basin pn 10 June 2015
Composite Full Earth Disk satellite image over the Atlantic showing tropical wave activity over Equatorial Africa and ‘hurricane alley’ across the Atlantic feeding into the Eastern Pacific sub-basin pn 10 June 2015