Tag Archives: Typhoon GONI

It is a trio+ in the Pacific!

Infrared satellite image of 08/23/2015 showing three tropical cyclones active today from the central Pacific to the extreme northwest Pacific
Infrared satellite image of 08/23/2015 showing three tropical cyclones active today from the central Pacific to the extreme northwest Pacific

The ‘twin evils’ of typhoon GONI and ATSANI continue moving over the northwest Pacific Ocean. Typhoon GONI brushed  past the northern Philippines  and Taiwan and it is now aiming for southern  Japan and the Korean peninsula. Typhoon ATSANI has made a turn toward the north and now the northeast as it continues to track parallel to the east coast of Japan posing no direct threat to land.

Porjected track for typhoon GONI [courtesy of the U.S. Naval research Laboratory] as of 08/23/2015
Projected track for typhoon GONI [courtesy of the U.S. Naval research Laboratory] as of 08/23/2015
    Projected track for typhoon ATSANI [courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research :aboratory] as of 08/23/2015

Projected track for typhoon ATSANI  [courtesy of the U.S. Naval Research  laboratory] as of 08/23/2015

This cyclonic activity over the northwest Pacific is now joined by tropical storm LOKE to the west of Hawaii over the central Pacific ocean, which has seen plenty of disturbed weather activity in recent days, as a swarm of tropical waves and disturbed weather cells move westward after being generated over the eastern Pacific off the coast of Central America and Panama.

Color-enhanced infrared satellite image of 08/23/2015 showing several tropical waves and disturbed weather cells extending from the eastern Pacific off the coast of Central America and Panama to the central Pacific near Hawaii, where Tropical storm LOKE is now active and moving NNW toward the island of Midway.
Color-enhanced infrared satellite image of 08/23/2015 showing several tropical waves and disturbed weather cells extending from the eastern Pacific off the coast of Central America and Panama to the central Pacific near Hawaii, where Tropical storm LOKE is now active and moving NNW toward the island of Midway.

While it would appear the west-northwest Pacific basin is having an extremely busy 2015 season in terms of tropical cyclone generation, the reality is that there have been a total of seventeen tropical cyclones affecting the region since MEKKHALA developed in January of this year and hit the Philippines until typhoon ATSANI formed this August. This kind of cyclonic activity is not unusual for that region and it is in fact somewhat below average.  We need to wait and see what the next few weeks bring in terms of cyclogenesis to determine what kind of a season 2015 will be in the northwest Pacific ocean.

Hurricane Alley is active in the Atlantic!

Tropical cyclone activity continues in the Pacific Ocean. Today 17 August there are two strong, and strengthening, typhoons GONI and ATSANI in the far northwestern Pacific aiming in the general direction of Taiwan and Southern Japan. This raises  the possibility that a region that has been battered continuously in 2015, as recently as a couple of weeks ago, may be in for another strong impact over the next few days.

Mosaic of infrared satellite images of 17 August 2015 showing Tropical depression ELEVEN over the eastern Pacific, and typhoons GONI and ATSANI over the far northwestern Pacific
Mosaic of infrared satellite images of 17 August 2015 showing Tropical depression ELEVEN over the eastern Pacific, and typhoons GONI and ATSANI over the far northwestern Pacific

Also in the Pacific, but in its eastern confines there is  Tropical depression ELEVEN some 1,000 kilometers west of the peninsula of Baja California in Mexico.

Worthy of notice today as well is strong tropical wave moving westward along Hurricane Alley in the Atlantic, some 1000 kilometers southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, which is showing signs of getting organized and perhaps developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 – 72 hours. Could this be the genesis of DANNY, the fourth named storm of the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Mosaic of infrared satellite images of 17 August 2015 showing a strong tropical wave moivng along 'Hurricane Alley' some 1000 kilometers southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, which is showing sign of potential cyclonic activity
Mosaic of infrared satellite images of 17 August 2015 showing a strong tropical wave moivng along ‘Hurricane Alley’ some 1000 kilometers southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, which is showing sign of potential cyclonic activity

Despite an early start of the 2015 season, the Atlantic basin has remained rather quite under the influence of a strengthening El Niño off the Pacific coast of South America. Today, however, in addition to this tropical wave moving west along Hurricane Alley toward the Lesser Antilles, there is a train of tropical waves over equatorial Africa progressing toward the eastern Atlantic that may be the seeds for future cyclonic activity, just as we approach the historical peak of the annual Atlantic hurricane season.

Only time will tell i we are witnessing the gestation of DANNY over the Atlantic, or if any of the tropical waves riding behind will develop into a tropical cyclone, but in the meantime all interest in the Caribbean, the Gulf, and in Florida will do well to pay attention, remain alert, be prepared, and continue to practice mitigation!